Rod Humble Years By Use Of Statistics And Tables

In this post I’m going to use tables to take a look at some statistics during the Rod Humble years. Allegations that this is just an excuse for me to remind myself how to do tables in HTML will be vehemently denied. I’ll be taking data largely from Tyche “Statto” Shepherd, which can be found at SLUniverse or from Tyche’s wonderfully useful site at http://gridsurvey.com/

I’m basing the following tables on Tyche’s reports on January 16th 2011 and January 19th 2014.

Region Numbers

Type 16th Jan 2011 19th Jan 2014 Change
Estate 24,756 19,205 -5,551
Linden Owned 6,673 6,986 +313
Overall 31,429 26,191 -5,238

This is quite a painful table. A loss of over 5,500 private estate regions during three years, which comes in somewhere close to 22.4% by my reckoning. My reckoning may be out of course but that looks about right.

The loss in private regions had started before Rod Humble came onboard and although they certainly seemed to accelerate under his reign, the losses were slowing down by the time he left. I posted on January 4th that net private region losses were slowing down. During 2012 the net loss was 2,865 (12.0% during the year), in 2013 the net loss was 1,719 (8.2% during the year). I’m not sure what anyone can do to stem the loss of private regions at this stage.

Regions By Maturity Rating

Type 16th Jan 2011 19th Jan 2014 Change
Adult – Estate 2,043 4,074 +2,031
Adult – Linden 346 346 0
Adult – All 2,389 4,420 +2,031
General – Estate 3,047 1,931 -1,116
General – Linden 1,492 1,622 +130
General – All 4,539 3,553 -986
Moderate – Estate 19,663 13,196 -6,467
Moderate – Linden 4,835 5,018 +183
Moderate – All 24,498 18,214 -6,284

As we can see, during the three years Mr Humble was in charge, Second Life appeared to get more adult. Over 2,000 more Adult rated sims now furnish the grid than when he arrived in 2011. Adult rated private regions have almost doubled.

This seems to have come at the expense of moderate and general rated regions. Moderate region net losses were well over 6,000 and not far off 33%. General fared worse in terms of a percentage loss, at around 36.6%.

The usual caveats apply here, I don’t know why Adult ratings have risen so much but I do know that many an adult sim is not dedicated to full on adult activities. Some people just prefer to have the highest available rating to give them the most flexibility. This is why Moderate rated sims score so well, in the old days there were only two ratings and moderate (then known as mature) was the higher rating and therefore gave the most flexibility.

I’m sure someone somewhere may be able to delve further into the reasons for Adult becoming so popular, but it would be a painful task.

As one would expect, there’s not that much change in the numbers of Linden owned sims but there clearly were some additions.

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The Rumour Mill Is Quiet On New CEO

I’m currently working on a blog post that includes tables and stats, but as it’s Sunday evening and my eyes are getting tired I’ve decided to leave that until tomorrow. Instead I’ll talk about the new CEO, whom I haven’t got a clue about.

We can start with ruling people out. Back in March 2008 I published a post entitled “Privacy And Robin Linden Will Not Be CEO“. This post was prompted by me suggesting at Robin Linden’s office hour that we were awaiting Robin to be crowned CEO, someone else congratulated Robin, prompting Robin to vehemently deny she was going to be CEO and to go even further by suggesting she would never be CEO.

However roughly six years on is quite a long time, so I can confirm that Robin Harper will not be in the running for the CEO position. I have this from a reliable source, trust me on this. I never reveal my sources … unless bribed heavily with gold and grog.

So anyway, the new CEO. What sort of person will fit the bill? The last two CEO’s have been surprise choices and I think the next one will be a surprise choice too. Linden Lab is still quite a large company and many an ambitious person in the right field will be tempted by the position.

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The Rod Humble Years- Improved Technology Combined With Poor Communication

As revealed yesterday, Rod Humble has departed Linden Lab after three years at the helm as CEO. Who the new Linden Lab CEO will regenerate as is not yet known, but Rod was the third or fourth regeneration of the Linden Lab CEO. This depends upon whether you count Bob Komin’s temporary stint as CEO. Fans of the franchise are divided upon whether Bob Komin was a legitimate regeneration.

Linden Lab announced Rod’s arrival in December 2010, although it is my understanding that he officially started work in January 2011. There was also a blog post in January 2011 when he arrived in Second Life in a toga. Early in his tenure he gave an impressive interview with Rock,Paper,Shotgun in which he explained some of the positives of Second Life:

What makes Second Life so intriguing to me is its hard to define nature. I have heard people call it a virtual world, a game, the 3d internet, a social media platform.. the list goes on. I like that kind of unresolved ambiguity, I think it shows something that is not yet fully evolved and has exciting new roads to discover. 

That interview also revealed that Rod had worked at Electronic Arts for six and a half years, which was the longest period he had worked anywhere, this is worth bearing in mind considering the recent news. Just shy of a couple of years into his tenure Rod gave another interview, this time to Giant Bomb, which shed light on this reasons for joining Second Life in the first place:

“When I was thinking about leaving EA,” said Humble during a recent meeting. “I was going to do my own company, and it was going to be around creative spaces–games that emphasize creativity tools more. When the opportunity came up and Linden Lab got in touch…first of all, Second Life? Is that still around? [laughs] I looked, and it was really, really healthy. Also, it was a company that was ready made to do a whole bunch of other products, which I wanted to do.”

This is also worth bearing in mind as Hamlet’s blog post on Rod’s departure includes his Facebook announcement about his departure in which he says:

I am starting up a company to make Art, Entertainment and unusual things! More on that in a few weeks!

Which sounds like he’s doing the sort of thing that he wanted to do before joining Linden Lab, the sort of thing he thought he could do with Linden Lab. Rod’s time at Linden Lab looks, on the face of it, to have been very good. He expanded the Linden Lab empire and put the Lab back into the Linden. However there were downsides during his reign.

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1920’s Berlin Breaking 2014 News – Rod Humble Leaves Linden Lab

1920’s Berlin chief Jo (Frau) Yardley has broken the news that Rod Humble has left Linden Lab! As this is the second post tonight to throw me off my schedule of writing about the Drax Files Radio hour I’m just going to post the early twitter reactions and grab a beer!

 

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Could Second Life Sister Grids Be The Future Way Forward For Virtual Worlds?

BopetteYossarian has posted a question regarding online gambling over at SLUniverse, namely whether rumblings in some US states regarding legalising online gambling could see a return of gambling to Second Life. Bopette links to a story on Fox News.

The story mentions that certain states are making moves, or have made moves, to allow online gambling, despite the fact that Federal law still forbids it. However in terms of Second Life, this is pretty much a non starter as far as I’m concerned.

When gambling was allowed in Second Life, it really wasn’t legal online gambling in my view. I say this because I know of no officially licensed bookmakers or gambling institutions who were running online gambling in Second Life. The reason gambling seemed to get a pass in Second Life was due to the fact that Linden Dollars were being exchanged, rather than cash and the authorities weren’t paying close enough attention to new fangled technology. That changed in July 2007 when gambling was prohibited in Second Life, with rumours that it was due to an FBI investigation, hence the authorities appeared to have noticed something may be amiss with this new fangled technology.

The only way I could ever see gambling returning to Second Life would involve Second Life adopting a new model of land ownership and this may actually be beneficial to organisations other than gambling ventures, however we’ll stick with gambling for the example of how this may work. Imagine there were no legal obstacles to gambling, Linden Lab would still probably want nothing to do with it, namely because as far as I’m aware, they aren’t a licensed gambling operator. However what if a licensed gambling operator wanted to come in and it was legally possible? That’s where the different model of land ownership comes in.

The gambling operator would be on a sister grid, this wouldn’t show on the map, but teleporting there would be possible if you signed up with the gambling operator. They would handle the registrations, the age verification and the legal right for people to gamble there, you wouldn’t take your Linden Dollars with you, they’d have their own currency system. Linden Lab would provide the support, maintenance and hardware resources and charge a fee for those services, but they wouldn’t be responsible for the account verification or the TOS on the sister grid.

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