Tyche’s Stats – Ciaran Laval

July 21, 2013

Private Sims Drop Below 20,000 Mark

Whereas at one point in time, private regions dipping below the 20,000 mark looked inevitable, when it actually came to private regions dipping below the 20,000 mark, boy did they make a fight of it.

Last week’s loss of 20 private regions left them teetering on the brink at 20,006, but signs of a fight were on the cards then and this week, they fought like mad, by Thursday they had increased by 2, standing at 20,008, a day later on Friday another 5 had been added and private regions stood at 20,013. They had a bit of a swagger about them at this stage and were ready to collect on bets made that they would sink below thr 20k mark this week.

However they were dealt a body blow yesterday when they dropped to 20K, they were against the ropes, wobbling around the ring, the referee took a good long hard look to ensure they weren’t taking too much damage and then, today, they were hit with an uppercut as the scores on the doors from Tyche Shepherd revealed a weekly net loss of 9 private regions, meaning they now stand at 19,997.

This means they stand at their lowest level since June 28th 2008. However are there any positives from this, well there might be.

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July 15, 2013July 16, 2013

Private Regions Tread Water Just Above The 20,000 Mark

Like a plucky last wicket stand by Australian batsmen at the first ashes test, Private sims are desperately clinging on to their status above the 20,000 mark, with the latest Tyche Shepherd survey revealing there are 20,006 private sims on the grid.

Like the plucky last wicket stand, resistance to going below the 20,000 barrier would appear to be somewhat futile. the amount of private sims on the grid will dip below the 20,000 mark soon. However a couple of weeks ago, on June 30th, Tyche was reporting that private sims had descreased by 4.6% for the year, with a loss of 959 sims, which at that point left 20,033 private sims on the grid. However by the same time last year there had been a decline for the year of 5.2%, 1,230 sims, so the rate of decline is slowing although it shows no signs of stopping.

The tier remains too high and slashing tier would probably halt the decline, but that would hit revenue for Linden Lab. There are other underlying factors behind the decline.The reasons for the decline are not just due to the costs of tier or even the change in dynamics brought about by the rise of the Marketplace.

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July 6, 2013

Tyche Shepherd’s Awesome Mainland Census June 2013

All graphs/charts in the blog post are reproduced with the kind permission of Tyche Shepherd, they remain the copyright of Tyche Shepherd and should not be reproduced without Tyche’s permission.

Tyche “Statto” Shepherd’s mainland census for June 2013 is out, it can be read here at SLUniverse. This does not make pretty reading unfortunately and whereas it’s far from fatal, it does appear that mainland is wounded, far more than I realised. Some key points to take in when compared to the March 2013 Census:

Overall number of parcels down 2.2%.
Total number of Owners down 2.8%.
Individual Owners down 3.0%.
Total number of land holding groups down 1.6%.
Abandoned land up from 11.7% to 12.6% to a new record high of 13.4% to 14.2%.
Governor Linden owned land up 1.6%.
All Linden land holdings up 1.5% to 49%.
Land for sale down 35.8%.

The extremely worrying figures relate to the increased Linden Lab holdings, which at 49% amont to nearly half of all mainland, the increase in abandonded land and the significant drop in land for sale. Tyche reports that land is being abandoned faster than it is being sold and the fact that land prices are basically rock bottom explains why people would rather abandon that wait to sell, but even then, land at rock bottom prices simply isn’t moving.

An Image Should Be Here — Abandoned Land

Now if you squint and look at the above graph from a funny angle, you’ll be able to see how it represents an ongoing increase of abandoned land. Alternatively you can go to the SLUniverse link and look at the graph properly, all graphs will follow this pattern because I can’t squeeze them in nicely, but trust me, this bar chart shows an increase in abandoned land and it’s quite staggering. The increase of abandoned land over the last quarter is the the equivalent of 108 to 115 full regions.

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